May 11, 2009 / Philadelphia
Relations between mainland China and Taiwan have developed rapidly in the year since Ma Ying-jeou became president of the Republic of China. Regular quasi-official negotiations, suspended for more than a decade, have resumed. Building on foundations laid under Ma's two predecessors, the two sides have forged new accords on key economic issues, following an agenda of “economics first, politics later” and “easy first, difficult later.” At the same time, Ma faces domestic troubles, including the political consequences of a struggling economy and charges from Taiwan's principal opposition party that rapprochement with Beijing is imperiling Taiwan's de facto independence or sovereignty and its security.
On the PRC side, the policy, closely associated with Hu Jintao, of long-term tolerance for the cross-Strait status quo and providing enough progress to make Ma's agenda politically viable faces uncertainty after the harvesting of early, easy gains and amid continuing skepticism about the wisdom of extensive accommodation. Both the recent progress and the unsettled future raise policy challenges for the United States as well.
To discuss these issues, FPRI has assembled a distinguished group of experts: